Week 5 Picks

So far, I’m 34-4, but this is by far the toughest week yet. I can afford to and will pick some upsets.

Here we go:

(14)Texas A&M (2-1) vs. (18)Arkansas (3-1), 12:00n, ESPN (Game played in Dallas, Texas)

We saw how much Arkansas really misses Knile Davis when their running game was smothered by Alabama. Of course, that also might have had something to do with blocking, or lack thereof. But they still have firepower, namely Joe Adams, Greg Childs and Jarius Wright. Texas A&M, on the other hand, is coming off a devastating choke job against Oklahoma State and an official acceptance into the SEC. Ryan Tannehill is simply not equipped with the weapons to match Arkansas.

Arkansas 41, Texas A&M 27

Mississippi State (2-2) @Georgia (2-2), 12:00n, ESPN3

There’s nobody that is befuddled by Dan Mullen more than Mark Richt, who really needs this win and a few more to cool off his seat. His team has been blasted by Mullen (49-10… remember Gator fans? Yeah of course you do), and has lost in the most aggravating fashions possible to Mullen as well. Mostly it’s been the latter, especially last year, an inexplicable 24-12 disgrace in Starkville. Here’s Georgia’s shot at redemption. Will Aaron Murray and co. get it? Nope.┬áMSU hasn’t exactly had a stellar season yet either and while Georgia has more desperation and maybe even more talent, Vick Ballard guides MSU to the upset.

Mississippi State 37, Georgia 24

Kentucky (2-2) @(1)Louisiana State (4-0), 12:20pm, SEC Network

This should be an easy call. It was a really easy call in 2007, too. Please recall the results of that game, and remember that anything can happen. Now remember what LSU has done to its first four opponents. They bludgeoned ’em. This Tigers team is rolling and absolutely deserves the #1 ranking until they lose. Much criticized QB Jarrett Lee is having a stellar season so far, and he’ll continue it against a Wildcat defense that surrendered a bunch of big plays to the Gators last week. Tigers cruise.

Louisiana State 45, Kentucky 14

Buffalo (1-3) @Tennessee (2-1), 12:30pm, ESPN3

Justin Hunter-less Tennessee isn’t happy right now, and they’ll get to unload their anger on a hapless Buffalo squad, a Buffalo squad that has a single claim to fame: they beat unbeaten Ball State in the MAC championship. Three years ago. Nobody down south really cares about the MAC and care even less about what Buffalo’s seniors did as freshman. But Tyler Bray does care about scoring points on a porous UB defense, which shouldn’t be too difficult with Da’Rick Rogers as his top target. Together, they can do anything! (Except beat the Gators).

Tennessee 44, Ball State 6

Auburn (3-1) @(10)South Carolina (4-0), 3:30pm, CBS

Two of the SEC’s best running backs go head to head: Michael Dyer of Auburn vs. Marcus Lattimore of South Carolina. Each have carried their team so far and each are drooling over facing each other’s defenses this Saturday. The difference is that Barrett Trotter has done a satisfactory job, while Stephen Garcia has not. The only problem for Auburn is that as bad as South Carolina’s defense is, theirs is far worse- quite an accomplishment when you realize the Gamecocks gave up 100 points in their first three games. One game didn’t fix their woes; just like Kentucky, Vanderbilt merely hid them. But both teams will rip open each other’s deepest, darkest, most humiliating issues- and Auburn has more than South Carolina.

South Carolina 49, Auburn 31

(3)Alabama (4-0) @ (12)Florida (4-0), 8:00pm, CBS

Alabama, get ready for the kitchen sink. I said all along this would happen and all you Bammers just talked garbage back. This is a rematch of the 2008 game in a lot of ways- speed of Florida vs. strength of Alabama. The last two years, it was just idiocy (read: Addazio) vs. strength. Maybe Alabama can rattle Rainey and Demps with big hits, but if they can’t catch them, they can’t tackle them. The real power in this game lies in the right arm of John Brantley. How much he can do will decide the outcome of the game, and I know thebone is groaning as he reads this but it’s true. I say he’ll do just enough to pull the upset for Florida. Oh and welcome to the Swamp, Bama!

Florida 20, Alabama 13

Mississippi (1-3) @Fresno State (2-2), 9:15pm, ESPN2

If Ole Miss loses this game, I believe Houston Nutt will not be the Rebels’ coach by the time the plane lands back in Oxford. I always thought the SEC team could do anything, but now I’m not sure after watching the Rebels get manhandled by Vanderbilt. VANDERBILT. I’m giving the Rebels one final chance here. The defense saves them in an ugly battle in Fresno- one that keeps Nutt’s job safe… for another week, anyway.

Mississippi 31, Fresno State 14

One thought on “Week 5 Picks

  1. Arkansas-33 Texas A&M-30
    Miss St.-28 UGA-21
    LSU-49 UK-13
    USC-35 Auburn-24
    UT-41 Ball St.-7
    UF-24 Bama-21
    Mississippi-20 Fresno St.-16

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